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EPL: Silvestre Moves From Man United to Arsenal


The transfer of an oft-injured back-up is not usually something that warrants its own space, but when two of the league’s elite are involved, it’s worth a note.

Mikael Silvestre was one of the longest tenured Red Devils, having been with the club since his move from Inter Milan almost ten years ago.  In recent years, the 31-year-old center/left back has been an infrequent contributor.  Injuries and the acquisition of players like Nemanja Vidic and Patrice Evra have cut into his playing time.  Though he saw some time at the end of last season, Silvestre was losing traction on United’s depth chart and looked unlikely to get playing time.

He had been rumored with moves all summer, but loan agreements with AS Roma and Bordeaux could not be worked out.  This week, it surfaced that Silvestre was on the verge of a move across town to Mancehster City.  Then Arsene Wenger swooped.  Arsenal hijacked Manchester City’s target, wtih Silvestre having to call City to apologize for being so close to a deal yet having to withdraw his interest in the face of an opportunity to join Arsenal.

It did not take long for Wenger and Alex Ferguson to work out a rare transfer.  Wenger joined Arsenal in 1996, and this is his first deal with United.  Ferguson joined United in 1986. and this is his first deal with Arsenal.  The last deal between the two clubs was in 1974!

Silvestre’s role with Arsenal is unclear, though with the Gunners slightly less set in the middle of their defence than United, Silvestre may see a few more games in London than at Old Trafford.  With these two clubs unlikely to do business again anytime soon, Silvestre will not have to play to become the new answer to a trivia question.

One of the stranger transfers of recent memory?  Tell us your thoughts.  Gunners fans:  where does Silvestre fit in?

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Sunderland Acquires Cisse on Loan from Marseille


Striker Djibril Cisse found himself on the bench this weekend as Marseille rolled through Auxerre, 4-0.  The benching was a mild surprise, given Cisse was Marseille’s leading scorer last season.  But with Mamadou Niang and Bakari Koné play well as a duo, Cisse’s benching seemed tactically viable.

Now it appears there may be another reason for Cisse being excluded from the lineup, one derived from the striker’s desires to move back to England.

Today Marseille announced that the former Liverpool player will join Sunderland on a season long loan.  Cisse will fill the striker void Roy Keane has been trying to address since Kenwyne Jones hurt his knee in May.  Cisse will give the Black Cats a number nine who can play with El-Hadji Diouf up top.

Cisse had been seeking a move back to England, as his wife is British.  With him being out of the starting lineup this weekend, Cisse renewed his request of club president Pape Diouf for a move.  Diouf, on the club’s website, said that after coach Erik Gerets had Cisse out of the lineup for the Auxerre match, he would not stand in the way of Cisse moving.

Diouf said hat Marseille had also talked to Manchester City about a move, but after this weekend he quickly finalized a deal with Sunderland.  The Black Cats, coming off a strong albeit losing showing against Liverpool on Saturday, will add some much needed scoring potential to the squad.

Cisse scored 22 goals in 50 games last season for Marseille, helping the team to a third place finish in Ligue 1.  His last season in the Premier League was 2005-06 when he scored 17 goals in 58 games for Liverpool.  He moved from Anfield to Marseille after seeing his playing time decrease toward the end that season.

For all you EPL or Ligue 1 fans out there, what do you think?  Is this a good move for Marseille?  And how much of an impact will this have on Sunderland’s season?

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EPL: Week 1, In Review


Ignoring goal differential, there is a nine-way tie for first in the Premiership, with only Manchester United and Newcastle playing to a draw. But while the standings have three point for half the league’s clubs, one side stands head-and-shoulders above the others after the weekend.

Chelsea FC came out stronger than anybody could have expected, and the reactions of their players and coach indicate that even the Blues are surprised. After their 4-0 destruction of Portsmouth, it would have been disingenuous to speak in the normal early-season clichés. Frank Lampard, after the match, said the team played as well as it could, while Luiz Felipe Scolari warned against complacency. But if there was one trait Chelsea never showed on Sunday, it was complacency. Even up 3-0 after half, Chelsea persisted, making their domination of the FA Cup holders seem autonomic.

On Monday, the league sits in a state of unexpressed fear. Chelsea has the talent to be this good, so Sunday’s result may not be a one-time affair. On Sunday, Wigan Athletic, in need of a points after coming away empty-handed from Saturday’s match against West Ham, will be the first to see if Chelsea came maintain their intensity.

Intensity was something that seemed missing from Arsenal and Liverpool’s 1-0 wins on Saturday. While Arsenal scored early (against West Brom) and Liverpool scored late (against Sunderland), neither exhibited the kind of form the league’s followers have come to expect from the Premiership’s elite. Arsenal jumped out early and coasted after their early pressure failed to yield a second goal, whereas Liverpool were fortunate to leave the Stadium of Light with more than one point. Each performance paled in comparison to what happened at Stamford Bridge.

And then there is Manchester United, the league’s former favorites, who lacked cutting-edge, no intensity. As Nemanja Vidic, Rio Ferdinand, and Patrice Evra pushed forward in the last fifteen minutes of their 1-1 tied with Newcastle, if became evident that United may not be much thinner than previously thought. Sunday may have been a bit of a perfect storm of injuries and absences, with in-game injuries further forcing Alex Ferguson’s hand, but the striker issue now looms larger. Will United get Berbatov, now that it seem they need him? If Berbatov does not come to Old Trafford, what of United’s chances?

Come Monday we will have better answers for those questions. That’s when United visits Pompey to give us a barometer of how they stack up against Chelsea. Ferguson will be hoping for three points. A 4-0 result to too far off.

Player of the Week: Deco, Chelsea

You can not understand giving Deco this award over Gabriel Agbonlahor, who had the league’s only hat-trick, unless you saw Chelsea dismantle Portsmouth. The Barcelona import may have changed the entire complexion of the Premiership, already becoming the focal point of a club that looks ready to fully-utilize its talent. If Deco can orchestrate the attack this season as effectively as he did on Sunday, Chelsea will be memorable.

Manager of the Week: Phil Brown, Hull

If was a remarkable week for managers. Paul Ince made history as Blackburn pulled out a miraculous victory. Luiz Felipe Scolari turned the league on its ear, and Gareth Southgate picked the right lineup for his upset of Tottenham. This award goes to Phil Brown, however, who earned Hull the club’s first ever Premiership victory (in its first Premiership match). The way the club stayed motivated and focused after Fulham’s early goal showed how prepared Brown had his team. When substitutes Craig Fagan and Caleb Folan manufacturer the winning goal, Brown had pushed all the right buttons.

Premier League Club Rankings
1. Chelsea - for one week, in another league.
2. Middlesbrough - controlled the match against Tottenham and deserved more than the 2-1 victory.
3. Arsenal - only won 1-0, but jumped out early and was never threatened.
4. Manchester United - constantly pressuring but with no ability to finish.
5. Aston Villa - goal scoring ability is unquestioned, but play a very open style that needs to tighten up.
6. Liverpool - this ranking may actually be generous, given their performance on Saturday.
7. Newcastle - Gutierrez and Coloccini additions helped create a stalwart defense.
8. West Ham - two Ashton goals give Hammers three points.
9. Blackburn - Andre Ooijer helps Ince make history.
10. Everton - deserved better than loss, but desperately need midfield reinforcements.
11. Sunderland - strong performance against Liverpool did nothing to answer questions about goal scoring.
12. West Brom - acquitted themselves well in opener against league elites.
13. Portsmouth - disappointing opener was as more about Chelsea’s quality than Pompey’s problems.
14. Bolton - strong start against potential league doormat.
15. Wigan - played well after early Ashton goals put them too far behind.
16. Tottenham - Spurs fans quickly shift expectations for the season.
17. Hull - spirited play had Tigers ready to take advantage of late Cottagers error.
18. Manchester City - never in their contest against Aston Villa.
19. Fulham - give away a point and set themselves up for another relegation fight.
20. Stoke - demolished by Bolton; say no more.

Premiership Table
Club GP P D
Chelsea 1 3 4
Aston Villa 1 3 2
Bolton 1 3 2
Blackburn 1 3 1
Hull 1 3 1
Middlesbrough 1 3 1
West Ham 1 3 1
Arsenal 1 3 1
Liverpool 1 3 1
Manchester United 1 1 0
Newcastle 1 1 0
Everton 1 0 -1
Fulham 1 0 -1
Tottenham 1 0 -1
Wigan 1 0 -1
Sunderland 1 0 -1
West Brom 1 0 -1
Manchester City 1 0 -2
Stoke 1 0 -2
Portsmouth 1 0 -4

Results: August 16-17
Arsenal 1, West Brom 0
Bolton 3, Stoke 1
Everton 2, Blackburn 3
Sunderland 0, Liverpool 1
Middlesbrough 2, Tottenham 1
West Ham 2, Wigan 1
Hull City 2, Fulham 1
Chelsea 4, Portsmouth 0
Aston Villa 4, Manchester City 2
Manchester United 1, Newcastle 1

ASR Player of the Week

Deco, Chelsea

ASR Manager of the Week

Phil Brown, Hull City

ASR XI of the Week

G Shay Given, Newcastle
LB Gael Clichy, Arsenal
CB Nemanja Vidic, Manchester United
CB David Wheater, Middlesbrough
RB Barcary Sagna, Arsenal
MF Stewart Downing, Middlesbrough
MF Mikel Arteta, Everton
MF Deco, Chelsea
MF Jonas Gutierrez, Newcastle
F Joe Cole, Chelsea
F Gabriel Agbonlahor, Aston Villa

Next Week
Saturday
Liverpool v Middlesbrough
Newcastle v Bolton
Stoke v Aston Villa
Tottenham v Sunderland
West Brom v Everton
Blackburn v Hull
Fulham v Arsenal
Sunday
Wigan v Chelsea
Manchester City v West Ham
Monday
Portsmouth v Manchester United

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Manchester United Salvages Draw Against Newcastle


Manchester United fans may want to bemoan their club’s inability to get three points in their opener at Old Trafford, but solace can be found 930 miles to the southeast, where another storied European club was held to a tie in the home opener of their title defense.

Without three of their best players, FC Bayern Munich held on for a 2-2 victory over Hamburger SV in the Bundesliga opener on Friday,. Munich was playing without leading scorer Luca Toni, German Footballer of the Year Franck Ribery, or their best defender, Martin Demichelis. In other words: It happens.

The Red Devils got the benefit of Newcastle playing without their captain, Michael Owen, but Manchester United were still without Cristiano Ronaldo (injury, long-term), Carlos Tevez (bereavement), Nani (suspension), Anderson (Olympics), and Owen Hargreaves (injury) - all players that would have been expected to contribute in attack. That they were still able to create more and better opportunities throughout the match should be encouraging to Alex Ferguson and his supporters.

The lack of a cutting edge was, however, noticeable. Wayne Rooney played the whole match, whereas he was once thought to be out recovering from an illness acquired in Africa, but he lacked his world-class form, and it was evident when he was unable to make himself dangerous with the ball at his feet around the box. Frazier Campbell had three strong chances and should have had a goal early, but Manchester United’s only goal came when Darren Fletcher, two minutes after Newcastle went ahead off an Obafemi Martins header, guided a Ryan Giggs cross into the net. It was Fletcher’s way of evening the scales after he left Martins alone for a goal off a Magpies’ corner. After twenty-four minutes, the match had it final score.

Giggs was United’s best player during his sixty minutes on the pitch, a good news-bad news proposition for the Devils. The good news is the legendary left winger, who is thought to be in his final season at Old Trafford, looks able to contribute, where many had wondered what he had left in the tank. The bad news for Manchester United is that he was their best player, something (at best) peculiar for a European championship team. It was one example of how Manchester United’s injuries and absences had taken a toll on the pitch.

The injuries for the champions were not limited to before the match. Michael Carrick, who had been named to Fabio Capello’s England national team for Wednesday’s friendly against the Czech Republic, left with an ankle injury and will be out for three weeks. He has been replaced by Tottenham’s Jermaine Jenas for Wednesday, but with Owen Hargreaves still suffering from knee problems, it’s unclear Ferguson will be able to replace his holding midfielder as easily.

Ryan Giggs was not substituted because of age, form or fatigue; rather, he also suffered an injury and had to be removed. At the 2/3 mark of the match, Giggs left the match with a right hamstring injury which will also see him sidelined around three weeks. Late in the second half, center back Nemanja Vidic injured his knee with a supreme effort to get his head on a corner kick. The ball ended up going off the crossbar, and Vidic finished with a noticeable limp after hurting his right knee.

At the end of the match, names like Campbell, Rafael de Silva, and Rodrigo Possebon joined reserves like Fletcher and John O’Shea in United’s side, and while it was a team that was still able to trouble a Newcastle side that played over the last fifteen minutes as if to preserve their point, it was not enough to get a second goal. Newcastle’s two Argentinian imports saw to that.

The Magpies came into the season as the Premiership’s worst returning defense, but summer acquisitions Jonas Gutierrez (right midfield) and Fabricio Coloccini (center back) had a huge impact in preventing the champions’ a second goal. Gutierrez was the match’s best player, having a unparalleled activity rate between the boxes, an adept defensive sense that broke up many Red Devil attacks, and a couple of moments in attack that made him mildly dangerous. Coloccini was active in the middle of the back line - a rangy, physical presence who was frequently finding ways to disrupt the home side’s attack. Those two additions made a profound difference between the Newcastle that finished last season and the team that took a point from Olf Stafford on Sunday.

For Manchester United, the draw stings only because of what happened earlier in the day at Stamford Bridge. In isolation, the draw is defensible, but on the same day that Chelsea put up a 4-0 domination of Portsmouth, the draw becomes a source of worry. Again here, United can look to Germany, where Munich’s draw against Hamburg was made the more worrisome when Schalke 04, the Bundesliga’s third place team last season, dominated Hannover on Saturday. From a distance, it is difficult to convince the casual Bundesliga fan that Munich’s fortunes changed so much after two matches. With the distance of a couple of rounds of the Premiership going by, we will probably be looking on Sunday’s results with the same refrain.

In other words: it happens.

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Chelsea Dominates in Season Opener


The article’s headline does not do justice to the performance Chelsea side turned in Sunday during the Luiz Felipe Scolari’s managerial debut. Against Portsmouth, the FA Cup holders who have been tabbed to challenge for European football, the Blues posted a 4-0 win, a score that undersells how convincing they were.

Chelsea nullified the striking duo of Peter Crouch and Jermaine Defoe, exposed a completely undermanned Pompey midfield, and showed no reverence for the respected Portsmouth defense. Harry Redknapp’s side, for their part, did not play especially poorly. Save a couple of David James curiosities, there was little the visitors could do to slow down the Blues. As Roman Abromovich applauded from the stands upon seeing the first returns on his investment, a new, clear Premier League favorites were crowned.

That crown, however long it stays at Stamford Bridge, sits firmly on the head of Deco. Chelsea’s one high-profile summer acquisition was the man of the match, providing an absolutely scary display of distribution for a team that had lacked a true midfield playmaker in season’s past. Chelsea has had Frank Lampard, Michael Ballack, and Micheal Essien, all of whom are world-class players, but they have been without somebody like Deco, whose immediate utilization of the hyper-active Joe Cole looks to be a potent (and annoying) combination. With somebody like Cole willing to work for him, Deco could unseated Cesc Fabregas as the league leader in assists.

If Deco was the man of the match, Cole was not far off, giving a performance that makes all the rumors of a Robinho acquisition seem ludicrous. Off an adroit pass from Michael Ballack (a one-touch punch off the outside of his foot that found Cole bursting past the line), Cole open’s Chelsea’s book just past the ten minute mark. It was the type of play that could only come from two, world class players who have played together as often as Ballack and Cole. The moment Portsmouth gave the ball away to Ballack’s feet, Cole was bursting past Sylvain Distin. Ballack put him in alone on James.

Unlike the Chelsea FC of last season, this club did not rest on its laurels. The second goal from Niclas Anelka, a header from a ball popped-up in front of the goal line while David James was out for a walk, was the result of constant pressure. Rather than attack on turnovers, Portsmouth seemed to exhale in relief when Chelsea gave up the ball. Without any talent in midfield that could compete with Deco, Ballack, Lampard and Jon Obi Mikel, Pompey was left parrying attacks throughout the first half. They needed Pedro Mendes. They needed Sulley Muntari. They needed some midfield help, and they needed it help more Chelsea pressure helped created a penalty kick off a hand ball just before half time. Lampard’s first goal of the season put Chelsea up 3-0 at half.

It was a scary, relentless performance that hinted at a sea change at Stamford Bridge. The Chelsea players finally seem convinced at how good they are. In this window before Arsenal’s youth matures, Chelsea has the most talented collection of players in the league (and have had for years). Scolari seems to realize this and has encouraged the players to show their skills. The fluid football the Blues showed in their China tour and during their two matches in Moscow at the Russian Railways Cup was still on display Sunday. Just like in the preseason, Chelsea’s players looked to be having fun, challenging themselves to play beautiful and (to Abramovich’s pleasure) exciting football.

Even at match’s end, when Pompey had conceded they had no chance to dent Chelsea’s armor, the team’s ambition was on display, with Deco putting a 30 meter shot past James while Portsmouth’s back line stood back, shell-shocked. As he left the field, Deco shook his teammates’ hands while his teammates shook their heads at him. Deco’s arrival may have changed everything in the Premiership, and it took two months for us to realize it.

Harry Redknapp needs midfield reinforcements, but will be hard for him to take too much from this match. Even before stepping onto the pitch, everybody know Portsmouth was short of Chelsea’s class. The question everybody has as Pompey leaves London: Is anybody in the same class as this Chelsea club?

That’s how impressive the Blues were.

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Boro Issues Spurs Wake-Up Call


For a fanbase desperate for some team, any team to unseat one of the Premiership’s Big Four, Tottenham was a beacon of hope. Over the summer ,the other North London club has been linked with seemingly every wantaway player in Europe, casting hopes and wishes into the minds of those hoping Liverpool could be brought back to the league. But for all those picking Tottenham to crack the cartel at the top of the table, Saturday at the Riverside proved a rude awakening.

It was a fair result, 2-1, beyond just Middlesbrough outplaying Spurs. If anything, the 2-0 scoreline posted before Tottenham’s late, resigning goal was more just. Though not dominant, Boro controlled the entire match and truly looked the better team, sending notice to a league fanbase that had overlooked Gareth Southgate’s young squad while swooning over Spurs and Portsmouth. From the opening lineups, when it was known Dimitar Berbatov would not be playing, when you could make a side-by-side comparison of the teams, you could see how the same Tottenham back line that was so porous last season, Darren Bent as their lead striker, and a couple of unremarkable names in the midfield made for a club not so much different from Southgate’s, who nobody is picking to make the top four.

On the pitch, there were stark differences. Middlesbrough was able to control the middle of the field, rendering Luka Modric practically invisible. Whereas Middlesbrough’s defense was efficient in dealing with the few challenges Bent and Giovani Dos Santos provided, Tottenham’s defense showed no improvement over last season. Middlesbrough scored two goals but had other good opportunities. It was only poor finishing from Afonso Alves that kept the Brazilian from multiple goals. Stewart Downing outplayed David Bentley, and David Wheater added to his growing reputation as Middlesbrough showed they may have the best players of the two teams. The Modric having an off-day and Berbatov on the sidelines for most of the match, Southgate’s stars were shining brighter on Saturday.

This was not just a one goal loss on the road, something that would be forgivable for almost any club in the Premiership. Tottenham did not play Middlesbrough to within a goal. Their late tally masks the fact that they were rarely dangerous, and in the second half, when Middlesbrough turned the screws, Spurs had no means of responding. When Dimitar Berbatov came on the pitch Tottenham’s attack started show the fluidity Juane Ramos wants. But aside from those twenty minutes, they did not threaten.

That is not to say they won’t. Switching David Bentley to the left side using his brilliant right foot to put the ball on as opposed to across the net is an inspired choice from Ramos. Berbatov’s skill makes the team noticeably more dangerous as the speed of Modric and Dos Santos can play off the big target man. Bent becomes viable when playing off Berbatov. If Spurs keep the Bulgarian and convince him to play, there attacking problems will be solved.

And they will need to solve those problems if they are to compete. I’m talking about Middlesbrough here, not Liverpool. Middlesbrough can be a top ten team, and they played as such on Saturday. If Alves can finish a bit better and the team (especially the goalies) can learn as the year progresses, Boro will be good.

Tottenham needs to worry more about how they are going to beat the Middlesbroughs of the world than how they are going to execute any Big Four attack plans. With Dimitar Berbatov lost, whether by transfer or by psychology, the top of the table is as far away as it was in May.

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Torres Saves Benitez, Liverpool Against Sunderland


Some will think Gretar Steinsson’s better, but Fernando Torres’ game winning goal against Sunderland has the benefit of being unambiguously intentional - a laser from just outside the box in the 83rd minute that was beyond Craig Gordon seemingly before he could leap. Off an innocuous build-up in a match that Liverpool and Sunderland has played somewhat even, Torres gave his fans another reason to think him the best player in the world. He took a performance that was by-the-book, recent vintage Liverpool - uninspiring, playing down to their opponents, potentially leaving points on the field - and salvaged the weekend with a win.

Given what happened Wednesday (a 0-0 draw in the first leg of Liverpool’s Champions League tie against Belgium’s Standard Liege), Torres salvaged the club’s week. Given what happened this summer (famously failing to get Gareth Barry), Torres may have salvaged the team’s last two months by finally giving LFC fans something to cheer. Given the subtle whispers that have started humming about Rafa Benitez’s status with the club, Torres may have temporarily unplugged the rumor mill.

But Benitez did not look his normal, confident self on the sidelines today. He seems legitimately concerned that his talented roster had so much trouble. The Reds tied against the champions from Belgium, and against Sunderland - a lower-half team without their biggest scoring threat - they were played surprisingly even.

In typical Liverpool fashion, they granted their opponents very few opportunities. Aside from some heart-starting miscues from Sami Hyppia and Andrea Dossena (miscues that made Liverpool backers thankful for the presence of Jamie Carragher), Sunderland were not afforded opportunities. At the same time, Liverpool showed almost no ambition in attack, allowing almost the same stalwart description to be applied to Sunderland’s defense. The difference, of course, is that the Reds have Torres, Steven Gerrard and Robbie Keane. Liverpool should expect more of themselves.

The continued inability of Benitez to get his team to play to their talent level has to be the first charge in his indictment, a charge that looked all the more valid when you consider what Roy Keane is working with. Against one of the eight or ten most talented teams in the world, Keane assembled a collection of cast-offs and still almost salvaged a point. The Black Cats played tight and smart, but they did not bring out the bus. They did try to score, if they weren’t exactly ambitious. When you have players like Andy Reid in your starting XI, there’s only so ambitious you can be.

What would Roy Keane be able to do with Liverpool’s talent? It’s almost a scary question to ask, and there seems little doubt he would do more than Benitez has. And because Benitez was matched-up with Keane today and barely salvaged a point, it is as if the Spaniard lost, though his team got three points. For eighty-three minutes, Liverpool let Sunderland play even with them. If, on the season’s opening day and three days after an slightly embarrassing result in Belgium, Benitez can not get his players to be the dominant force their talent dictates, then will Liverpool ever play the consistently great football it will take to challenge for the league title?

Saturday’s match gave us every reason to believe Roy Keane’s growing reputation well-earned. He appears to be on the verge of taking the Tottenham cast-offs he has acquired and making them into a team that might rise to the middle of the table. On Saturday, they looked as good or better than half the teams in the league.

Benitez, on the other hand, is forcing followers to ask questions. It is only one game, and Liverpool could still go on to have a great season. Yet, the match was so incredibly emblematic of every criticism leveled at Benitez over the last few seasons. If they can not show better in matches like today’s, when will they show?

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Fulham Downed By Hull City


Hopes that Fulham would carry momentum from last season’s miracle finish were squashed today. Opening their Premiership campaign at recently promoted Hull City, Fulham was without the urgency that saved them from relegation in May. Though the Cottagers got an eighth minute goal when Seol Ki-Hyeon put his head to the end of a Jimmy Bullard cross, Fulham was always behind the play. Phil Brown had his Tigers prepared for their debut, and they carried an intesity throughout the match that Fulham could not match.

Hyeon’s goal could have been enough to quell Hull’s opening day aspirations. The circumstances surrounding it were disheartening. Moments after a great Mark Schwarzer save kept a sharp Geovanni header from opening scoring in the Tigers’ favor, Bullard was given enough time on the right flank to pick his spot. His cross was nothing special, but - hard working Hyeon was able take advantage of a slightly out of position Michael Turner in the middle of Hull’s defense. Hyeon’s ball was not as strong as the one Geovanni had saved, but it was enough to give the Cottagers a lead.

Hull could have taken the goal as a sign that their best would not be good enough, even against the last team to stay in the Premiership. The Tigers, however, persisted, creating the better chances while preventing Fulham from building a consistent attack. Fulham’s few possessions were defined by attempts at long balls targeting Bobby Zamora, not the ideal target man. Hull, on the other hand, was creating quality chances.

The hosts finally broke through with a magnificent left-footed strike from Geovanni in the 22nd minute, the effects of which could be seen draped across the coach’s faces for the rest of the half. Hull manager Phil Brown remained composed in orchestrating a team which had been sharp and persistent from the get-go. Fulham’s Roy Hodgson, on the other hand, looked worried, knowing his team would need to improve if they were to keep pace. It was a sad commentary on the state of Fulham FC. Against a team playing their first-ever Premiership match, their manager was left worrying within the first thirty minutes.

Through the mid-point and into the second half, each team played with ambition, though Hull continued to have the better of the play. John Plantsil was a highlight at the back right for Hodgson’s team, providing a physical presence and some ambition. But the other Cottagers were unremarkable, especially in comparison to a series of Hull players who played as if determined to make history. Anthony Gardner, Nick Barmby, Ian Ashbee, George Boateng and Ricardo Garcia all distinguished themselves, continuing to stifle Fulham’s attack while giving Brede Hangeland all he could handle at Fulham’s back.

It was Geovanni, though, who starred. Though he failed to distinguish himself for Manchester City last season, Geovanni’s signing raised some eyebrows this summer, providing Hull was an unexpected injection of skill. Today, Geovanni cast doubt on why Manchester City let him go. Beyond the two excellent chances Geovanni created in the first quarter of the match, the Brazilian midfielder, who at the onset played as a kind of supporting striker for Marlon King, continued to threaten Fulham. He was the most dangerous player on the pitch, and until he assumed a slightly deeper role after Phil Brown brought in two new strikers, Geovanni was continuously in Fulham’s area.

The switch came in the 62nd minute when Brown brought offseason purchase Peter Halmosi in for Barmby. It was the first of three changes in Brown which continued to bring more attacking players on the pitch. His approach was the opposite of Hodgson’s, who seemed to be trying to make it to full time with the point his team was in position to earn. By the middle of the second half, Fulham was noticeably less ambitious, brought almost no attack to the match, yet Hodgson went without a change.

The coach’s inactivity would cost him shortly after he swapped Zamora for Clint Dempsey. A ball played at left back Paul Konchesky was botched by the defender. The Fulham back was moved off the ball by substitute Craig Fagan. With Konchesky haven fallen to his back, Fagan rolled a pass through the box for Caleb Folan (pictured). The final Hull City substitute side-footed the winner past a sprawling Fulham defender.

The cheer of the crowd at the final whistle will be a highlight of the weekend. The city which had never had a club in the top flight of English football realized the moment. Their club, having played the match as if to make history, had provided the memory.

Fulham was never able to match that intensity. As a result, the Cottagers will not only find themselves at the bottom of the table after one week, but they will have let slip away the chance to get some points away from home, an opportunity which they may come to rue if they end up battling Hull nine months from now.

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Arsenal Wins Uninspiring Opener Against West Brom


Arsenal opened the season with an unimpressive 1-0 victory over West Brom Albion, holding a one goal lead for 86 minutes after Samir Nasri scored minutes after making his Premiership debut.

Nasri was one of Arsenal’s best players, but the summer acquisition was not as dominant as some post-match summaries have described. The only player on the pitch who was close to dominant was Arsenal left back Gael Clichy, who continues to make his case as being the best left back in the world.

Nasri’s fourth minute goal was the result of some sharp play up the left side from Clichy and midfielder Denilson. Clichy played a ball towards the touch line, right of goal. Denilson sped through the box to put a ball back to the trailing Nasri for an easy goal when West Brom’s center backs failed to read the play in time.

For the rest of the match (save some flash in possession in towards the end), Nasri was indistinguishable from the rest of Arsenal’s club, a team that showed little desire to secure the match after being foiled in their deliberate attacks during the initial twenty minutes. After West Brom weathered an opening onslaught, through which they looked utterly star-struck, Arsenal barely threatened. They were still ambitious in their play, but they rarely tested WBA netminder Scott Carson.

Much of Arsenal’s ineffectiveness could again be placed at the feet of Emmanuel Adebayor, though the Togoan striker was not bad. In fact, he was the defining aspect of a Gunner attack that constantly fed through balls between WBA right back and right-center back. Adebayor exploited that slot, established a left-side attack that was bolstered by Clichy, but always seemed to do one, subtle mscue to prevent Arsenal from having a real opportunity. Often he was too conservative, making a meaningless pass instead of shooting. Other times he read the play wrong or gave away a good opportunity with a bad touch. For every nice piece of skill or athleticism he exhibited - and there were plenty of those - there was a touch that would remind you of last season and all the complaints Gunners’ backers held in April and May.

More than mere decision-making problems, Adebayor missed two chances that you would expect a striker of his stature to convert. Arsenal should have put more distance between them and Albion, and Adebayor is the main reason why they did not.

The Gunners played without Cesc Fabregas and elected not to start Robin van Persie or Kolo Touré. Arsene Wenger was clearly confident in his side’s ability to get three points in their home opener. Albion, however, showed why they look to avoid the drop. They were overwhelmed against an Arsenal team that exploited what was a porous back line, yet they still showed an ability to create opportunities. That ability almost drew them even in the fiftieth minute when work initiated by Ismael Miller led to Manuel Almunia being beaten before an Arsenal defender cleared the ball off the line.

Miller, in particular, should be able to score goals in this league. He showed an athleticism and persistence that will serve him well throughout the year, and while he tried some skills which will not work against the more seasoned defenders of the Premiership, he looks capable of adjusting. If Tony Mowbray will finally play Miller and Roman Bednar together in a 4-4-2 (as opposed to the 4-3-3/4-5-1 they played today), they will be able to better exploit the half of the table against whom they can be expected to get points.

The highlight of the match was seeing Bacary Sagna and Gael Clichy playing together again. Sagna missed the last two months of last season with an ankle injury. When he’s playing, Arsenal has the best pair of wide backs in the world. Because Arsenal elected to play up the left side more than the right, Sagna was not on the ball as much as Clichy, but in his opportunities, has was just as brilliant. In the first hlaf, a rifle left footed shot off a ball coming out of the West Brom area lmost gave him his first goal since the match in which he was injured. A Brom defender was able to get in front of the ball just outside the eight.

If William Gallas’s play today showing he may be ready to put last season’s turmoil behind him, he, Clichy, and Sagna could least Arsenal to a much improved back line.

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ASR’s 2008-09 English Premiership Preview


The English Premier League kicks off tomorrow with seven matches. Those fixtures serve as a prelude to Sunday, when the league’s top finishers, Manchester United and Chelsea, kick off their seasons. Those two sides have won the last four Premierships, and many are predicting the title to stay within that two-team dynasty. But revitalized Arsenal and Liverpool sides will be more than just passive bystanders as the pressure mounts for each club to secure some silverware. At the top, the league is as competitive and deep as any time during the post-Abramovich era.

The race for the league’s three other European soccer spots will be no less contentious, with four legitimate contenders vying for three spots. With the hegemony of the “Big Four” threatening to continue for another season, fans are hoping one of Aston Villa, Everton, Portsmouth, and Tottenham can transcend UEFA Cup aspirations and challenge near the table’s top.

For the first time, American Soccer Reader will be providing you with coverage of what is sure to be a memorable Premiership campaign. As the race for the title and European football unfolds, we will be providing updates and analysis to help bridge the Atlantic and bring the highest profile league in the world a little closer to you.

That coverage starts with this preview, the team-by-team versions of which have been posted over the last two days. If the fight for the league title and the Europe births is as tight as we are expecting, any number of small factors can render this prognosis moot. Such is the nature of predictions, though: they can only look at the evidence we have at a given point in time. What happens tomorrow will change everything, and when it does, ASR will have something to say.

This is how we see the league, as it heads into the 2008-09 season. Let us know what you think! Use the comments section to give us your thoughts on this year’s Premiership.

Click on the club name to see the team-centric preview of the 2008-09 season.

Finish Predicted Results
08-09 07-08 Club G W D L PTS GF GA DIFF
1 1 Manchester United 38 25 7 6 82 72 28 +44
2 3 Arsenal 38 24 7 7 79 79 37 +42
3 2 Chelsea 38 22 9 7 75 62 31 +31
4 4 Liverpool 38 22 8 8 74 68 37 +31
5 6 Aston Villa 38 19 9 10 66 66 45 +21
6 5 Everton 38 16 10 12 58 48 40 8
7 11 Tottenham 38 15 10 13 55 61 57 +4
8 8 Portsmouth 38 15 9 14 54 52 48 +4
9 13 Middlesbrough 38 14 10 14 52 53 54 -1
10 12 Newcastle 38 13 9 16 48 51 58 -7
11 14 Wigan 38 12 10 16 46 42 50 -8
12 NA West Brom 38 12 8 18 44 50 62 -12
13 9 Manchester City 38 11 11 16 44 46 58 -12
14 10 West Ham 38 11 10 17 43 43 55 -12
15 7 Blackburn 38 11 10 17 43 43 56 -13
16 15 Sunderland 38 11 9 18 42 42 56 -14
17 17 Fulham 38 10 9 19 39 39 57 -18
18 16 Bolton 38 9 9 20 36 38 60 -22
19 NA Stoke 38 7 11 20 32 41 68 -27
20 NA Hull 38 6 8 24 26 28 65 -37
Methodology

The standings above are the result of taking each club, making a determination of playing time (considering injuries, scheduling, international commitments, as well as player performance), and asking how that player will effect the team’s attack and defense. Once this was done for a whole club, we were able to make an prediction of goals for and goals against.

With those two numbers, we wrote a simulation that played the season 1000 times. The table above represents the average result of all those seasons. So, over the course of 1000 simulations that used our predicted goals for and against, Manchester United came up with the best, average results.

More detailed results of the simulations can be seen in the team-by-team reports. In the lower right-hand corner of each you will see the probability of a team winning the league, finishing in the top four, finishing in the top seven, and being relegated. For example, if you click on Hull City’s preview, you will see that our simulations found a team with their goals for and goals against will get relegated 90.3% of the time, given this EPL’s competition.

The simulation is good for giving us a range of possible results, but it is just a tool. The real backbone of the predictions is the goals for, goals against numbers - numbers which represent our by-the-eye analysis of every player and every club in the league.

The 2008-09 Season

Our prediction sees teams being cast into four distinct groups.

At the top, you have the “Big Four,” as they have come to be called, though unlike the last couple of seasons, each of Manchester United, Arsenal, Chelsea and Liverpool have a legitimate chance at winning the league. We are casting Liverpool in fourth, but it is easy to imagine scenarios where they can transcend the eight point gap we have between them and Manchester United.

Behind them, there are the five teams which will battle for the remaining European spots. The UEFA Cup qualifying spots could extend beyond seventh place (depending on how the FA Cup is resolved), but seventh will be the magic place that puts a club in the conversation. For those three spots behind the title contenders, Aston Villa, Everton, Tottenham and Portsmouth will contend, with Gareth Southgate’s upstart Middlesbrough side ready to slide into Europe, should clubs slip.

The no-man’s land of the table in the European-structure is that are between the European qualifying positions and relegation. For the recently promoted West Brom, being in that no-man’s land is a blessing. They should avoid relegation. For team’s like Manchester City and Blackburn, it is a disappointing place, with those clubs having competed for Europe last season. They will be joined by Newcastle, Wigan, West Ham and Sunderland, all of whom should secure their 2009-10 Premiership spots before the league’s final round.

The teams who will be battling relegation are predictable. Fulham and Bolton barely escaped the drop last season and have done little to substantially improve their chances. It is Bolton, however, that should be particularly scared, because although they may resemble Fulham at the season’s onset, their roster bares fewer places for surprise and improvement than the Cottagers.

Stoke and Hull will not be as fortunate as the Championship’s other promoted team. Stoke has the firepower to conceivably avoid relegation, but they are still favorites for the drop. Hull, however, may be Derby-esque. Our simulations do not see them as that bad, but if they get off to a poor start, they may resign themselves to anchoring the table.

Title Contenders

Four teams have good chances of walking away with the Premiership, but two teams from the group distinguish themselves. Manchester United, the most loved and most hated team in the world, will be near the top at season’s end. They have too much depth and talent to drop very far. Chelsea is thought to be their biggest threat after finishing last season only two spots behind (and setting a record for most points garnered without winning the league), but United’s biggest threat should come from the club that finished another two points back.

Arsenal led the Premiership for most of the season, but injuries and inexperience saw them collapse and finish third in the league. Yet, the Gunners finished only four points back of United. Expect Arsene Wenger, with more players and having given his young club a year’s worth of experience, to put Arsenal in the thick of title contention.

Rafa Benitez has done a good job in giving Liverpool the talent and depth to maintain pace at the top. They will contend for every honor.

Battling for Europe

At most, three teams from a strong quartet of Aston Villa, Everton, Tottenham and Portsmouth will qualify for the UEFA Cup.

Aston Villa looks to be strongest and could threaten any of the Big Four who might stumble. Everton returns all the key components of one of the league’s best defenses. If David Moyes can acquire some depth, they will again challenge for fifth place.

Tottenham and Portsmouth are each wild cards. Who knows how the revolving door will swing a White Hart Lane, but if it stays shut (with Dimitar Berbatov staying in London), Spurs will be a force. Harry Redknapp brought Peter Crouch to Pompey, and if Crouch shows the same desire he did at the end of last season, Pompey will transcend this expectation.

The surprise in this group will be Gareth Southgate’s Middlesbrough. They gave even the best clubs trouble last year (see the late season against Manchester United). This season, they will have a year’s seasoning augmented by a full season of Afonso Alves. If Tottenham sells and Everton does not buy, Southgate could qualify his team for Europe.

Racing to Beat the Drop

As with Derby last season, there is another purely sacrificial lamb. Feel for Hull City, who finally made it to the top flight of English football. It will be a long season for the Tigers.

Stoke, however, could threaten, though they do not necessarily have the talent to stay. They need to go for wins rather than ties and put themselves in position to benefit from the stumblings of a couple of returning clubs.

If that happens, the two clubs to drop should be Fulham and Bolton. The talent on each of these teams in little better than the best teams in the Championship, and both Gary Megson and Roy Hodgson will have to scrap to keep their teams up.

The League in the World

The 2007-08 season was a watershed campaign for the Premiership, with a dramatic league race, a team winning the Champions League, more prominent foreign players raising the league’s profile leading to an increased worldwide following. It is the most popular soccer league in the world, and 2008-09 should do nothing to change that. We are predicting an upturn in scoring thanks to a continued influx of skill. That combined with what could be wide-open races for all seven European spots could make this season as memorable as the last.

Odds - Winning the League
The teams who won the league at least one time during our simluations.

Manchester United 43.5%
Arsenal 31.2%
Chelsea 13.4%
Liverpool 9.8%
Aston Villa 1.6%
Everton 0.3%
Portsmouth 0.2%

ASR’s EPL Player of the Year

Cesc Fabregas, M, Arsenal
Other Contenders
Fernando Torres, F, Liverpool
John Terry, D, Chelsea
Ashley Young, M, Aston Villa
Jermaine Defoe, F, Portsmouth

ASR’s Team of the Season

G Tim Howard, Everton
LB Gael Clichy, Arsenal
CB John Terry, Chelsea
CB Rio Ferdinand, Manchester United
RB Bacary Sagna, Arsenal
MF Ashley Young, Aston Villa
MF Cesc Fabregas, Arsenal
MF Steven Gerrard, Liverpool
MF Cristiano Ronaldo, Manchester United
F Jermaine Defoe, Portsmouth
F Fernando Torres, Liverpool
Substitutes: Petr Cech, G, Chelsea; Patrice Evra, DF, Manchester United; Nemanja Vidic, DF, Manchester United; Javier Mascherano, MF, Liverpool; Stewart Downing, MF, Middlesbrough; Robin van Persie, F, Arsenal; Carlos Tevez, F, Manchester United

Cracking the Cartel
Which teams, beyond the Big Four, stand the best chance of securing a Champions League birth.

Aston Villa 35.5%
Everton 6.9%
Tottenham 4.3%
Portsmouth 3.6%
Middlesbrough 1.8%

Leading Goal Scorers
ASR’s predicting the following players to find the net most often.

LIV Torres, Fernando 20
POR Defoe, Jermaine 16
MU Tevez, Carlos 16
MU Rooney, Wayne 16
MID Alves, Afonso 16
EVR Yakubu 16
ARS Adebayor, Emmanuel 16
BLA Santa Cruz, Roque 15

Odds - Relegation
Teams who were relegated more than 1% of our similuations.

Hull City 90.3%
Stoke City 53.2%
Bolton 45.1%
Fulham 28.4%
Sunderland 16.5%
Blackburn 16.2%
Manchester City 13.5%
West Ham 11.4%
West Brom 10.4%
Wigan 7.4%
Newcastle 4.4%
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